跨省迁移对地区差距的影响——基于灰色关联度的分析 |
The Influence of Inter provincial Migration On Regional Gap——Analysis Based on Grey Correlation Analysis Method |
投稿时间:2015-05-14 |
中文关键词:跨省迁移;地区差距;灰色关联度分析 经济增长 |
英文关键词:inter provincial migration regional income gap grey relational analysis economic growth |
基金项目:国家社科基金资助项目(11CJL031);安徽省自然科学基金项目(1408085QG141);安徽省哲学社会科学规划项目(AHSKQ2014D49) |
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中文摘要: |
基于新古典增长理论,跨省人口迁移是缩小地区差距的力量。但基于新经济地理学,跨省人口迁移又会通过规模经济效应扩大地区差距。本文使用全国人口普查数据,采用灰色关联度分析方法,同时研究了跨省人口迁移对迁出地和迁入地经济发展的影响。结果发现,跨省人口迁移与迁入地经济发展之间的平均关联度高于与迁出地经济发展的平均关联度。这一结果意味着跨省人口迁移在现阶段是扩大地区差距的力量,因此,中央政府在改革户籍制度促进农村劳动力自由流动的同时,应注重向欠发达地区提供偏向性的财政政策支持。 |
英文摘要: |
Based on the neoclassical growth theory, inter provincial migration is a power of eliminating income gap among regions. Bat according to the new economic geography, inter provincial migration may expand the income gap among regions. Using the fifth and sixth national population census data and grey correlation analysis method, this article calculates the inter provincial migration’s influcnce on emigration region and its regional economic growth, finding that the correlation coefficient between inter provincial migration and immigration’s regional economic growth is higher than that between inter provincial migration and emigration’s regional economic growth. This confirms that inter provincial migration is the main power to expand the regional gap, so that our government should reform the household registration system to promote the free flowing of rural workforce, meanwhile, it should focus on providing biased financial support for the less developed areas. |
熊勋胜,余吉祥.跨省迁移对地区差距的影响——基于灰色关联度的分析[J].石家庄铁道大学学报(社会科学版),2015(3):24-29. |
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