| 改进重力模型在铁路客运量预测中的应用 |
| Application of Improved Gravity Model in the Railway Passenger Traffic Volume Forecast |
| 投稿时间：2013-04-29 |
| 中文关键词:重力模型 铁路运输 运量预测 |
| 英文关键词:gravity model railway transportation traffic volume forecast |
| 基金项目: |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 对重力模型参数随时间变化的规律进行了研究，用正弦函数描述了重力模型参数的波动规律，改进了原有重力模型将参数标定为常数的缺陷，并通过数据拟合对实例进行了验证，结果表明该模型预测精度较高。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| This paper studies the law of gravity model parameters changing over time, using a sinusoidal function to describes the volatility of the gravity model parameters, improving the defects of original gravity model in which the parameters are calibrated as a constant, which is validated with instances through data fitting, and the results show that the prediction accuracy of the model is high. |
| 李凯,马驷,许传粉,汪颖,褚岩.改进重力模型在铁路客运量预测中的应用[J].石家庄铁道大学学报：自然科学版,2014,(4):94-97,103. |
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